Using Historical NBA Data To Rank the Most Unlikely Comebacks

Quantifying The '15 - '16 NBA Season's

Most Unlikely Comebacks

Using Historical Data to Rank Statistically Improbable Wins

I hate stats like “Golden State had an unbelievable 21 point comeback.”

There’s no context. Did the comeback take 8 minutes or 24 minutes? An 8 minute, 21 point comeback would be more interesting. If every team in NBA history lost when down by 21 with 8 minutes left, but Golden State was the first to win, that’d be noteworthy. Big comebacks aren’t impressive. Unlikely comebacks are. Like Reggie Miller’s historic 8 points in 9 seconds.

We used Inpredictable.com’s win-probability model to identify the most statistically unlikely comebacks this season. Given a point-deficit, time remaining, and ball possession, it says how likely a team will win/lose based on how other teams have fared in that exact scenario over the past 10 years.

Let’s begin with the most unlikely comebacks from this NBA season so far.

UNLIKELY COMEBACK #1: HOU VS MIA - APR 12, 2016

The comeback from down 21 in the 3rd
(96% of teams historically lose)

From 2006 - Today, Teams in Heat's Situation Tend to Lose

50%

of the time

96% of Teams will Lose when Down by 21, at Q3 9:27, and with the Ball

low-point

The Heat are down by 0 48 Minutes to go at tip-off

Start of Quarter

Q1 12:00

Jump Ball Whiteside vs. Capela: Tip to Dragic

Q1 11:43

MISS Bosh 25' 3PT Shot

Q1 11:42

Rockets Rebound

Q1 11:27

Capela 2' Layup

Q1 11:06

MISS Bosh 17' Turnaround Shot

Q1 11:05

Ariza REBOUND

Q1 10:54

MISS Harden 24' 3PT Shot

Q1 10:53

Rockets Rebound

Q1 10:47

Thornton 24' 3PT Shot

Q1 10:29

MISS Deng 25' 3PT Shot

Q1 10:28

Bosh REBOUND

Q1 10:27

MISS Bosh 1' Layup

Q1 10:26

Thornton REBOUND

Q1 10:17

Capela Lost Ball Turnover

Q1 10:13

Whiteside 2' Running Layup

Q1 10:02

MISS Ariza 23' Shot

Q1 10:01

Whiteside REBOUND

Q1 9:58

Thornton P.FOUL

Q1 9:45

MISS Deng 24' 3PT Shot

Q1 9:44

Capela REBOUND

Q1 9:41

Dragic Shooting Block Foul

Q1 9:41

Harden Free Throw 1 of 2

Q1 9:41

Harden Free Throw 2 of 2

Q1 9:27

Deng Poss Lost Ball Turnover

Q1 9:15

MISS Ariza 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup

Q1 9:14

Capela REBOUND

Q1 9:13

Capela Dunk

Q1 8:51

Deng 6' Shot

Q1 8:30

Ariza 24' 3PT Shot

Q1 8:13

Harden S.FOUL

Q1 8:13

Wade Free Throw 1 of 2

Q1 8:13

Wade Free Throw 2 of 2

Q1 7:54

Capela 3' Layup

Q1 7:37

Capela Personal Block Foul

Q1 7:37

Capela S.FOUL

Q1 7:37

Deng Free Throw 1 of 2

Q1 7:37

Deng Free Throw 2 of 2

Q1 7:18

MISS Harrell 8' Turnaround Hook Shot

Q1 7:17

Deng REBOUND

Q1 7:13

Harrell Shooting Block Foul

Q1 7:13

Wade Free Throw 1 of 2

Q1 7:13

Wade Free Throw 2 of 2

Q1 6:59

Thornton Lost Ball Turnover

Q1 6:54

MISS Wade 9' Driving Floating Shot

Q1 6:54

Ariza REBOUND

Q1 6:39

Harden 1' Driving Layup

Q1 6:32

Whiteside Dunk

Q1 6:12

Thornton 4' Driving Floating Shot

Q1 5:50

Dragic 6' Shot

Q1 5:44

MISS Ariza 3PT Shot

Q1 5:43

Whiteside REBOUND

Q1 5:41

Whiteside Bad Pass Turnover

Q1 5:41

Harden 1' Layup

Q1 5:41

Whiteside Shooting Block Foul

Q1 5:41

Harden Free Throw 1 of 1

Q1 5:25

Whiteside 1' Layup

Q1 5:12

MISS Thornton 14' Shot

Q1 5:11

Whiteside REBOUND

Q1 5:09

Whiteside Bad Pass Turnover

Q1 5:02

Thornton 25' 3PT Shot

Q1 4:49

MISS Wade 6' Turnaround Bank Shot

Q1 4:48

Whiteside REBOUND

Q1 4:48

Whiteside 3' Hook Shot

Q1 4:48

Thornton S.FOUL

Q1 4:48

Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 1

Q1 4:35

MISS Harden 16' Shot

Q1 4:34

Wade REBOUND

Q1 4:25

Whiteside Dunk

Q1 3:58

Beverley 2' Driving Layup

Q1 3:36

MISS Wade 7' Shot

Q1 3:35

Beverley REBOUND

Q1 3:26

Brewer 2' Reverse Layup

Q1 3:06

Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover

Q1 3:02

Brewer 2' Layup

Q1 2:42

Lawson S.FOUL

Q1 2:42

MISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 2

Q1 2:42

Deng Free Throw 2 of 2

Q1 2:32

MISS Brewer 5' Shot

Q1 2:31

Deng REBOUND

Q1 2:16

MISS Deng 8' Hook Shot

Q1 2:15

Harden REBOUND

Q1 2:10

Harden Bad Pass Turnover

Q1 2:06

MISS Winslow 2' Layup

Q1 2:05

Deng REBOUND

Q1 2:04

MISS Deng 1' Tip Layup Shot

Q1 2:00

Chalmers REBOUND

Q1 1:59

Chalmers 2' Layup

Q1 1:51

MISS Harden 24' 3PT Shot

Q1 1:50

Bosh REBOUND

Q1 1:38

MISS Green 25' 3PT Shot

Q1 1:37

Winslow REBOUND

Q1 1:27

MISS Bosh 18' Shot

Q1 1:26

Deng REBOUND

Q1 1:23

Deng 3' Jump Bank Shot

Q1 1:14

MISS Lawson 20' Shot

Q1 1:13

Deng REBOUND

Q1 1:07

Green 2' Driving Layup

Q1 0:50

Winslow P.FOUL

Q1 0:50

Harden Free Throw 1 of 3

Q1 0:50

Harden Free Throw 2 of 3

Q1 0:50

Harden Free Throw 3 of 3

Q1 0:48

Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover

Q1 0:45

Chalmers S.FOUL

Q1 0:45

Lawson Free Throw 1 of 2

Q1 0:45

Lawson Free Throw 2 of 2

Q1 0:31

Winslow 2' Driving Layup

Q1 0:22

Beverley Bad Pass Turnover

Q1 0:02

MISS Winslow 20' Shot

Q1 0:01

Ariza REBOUND

End of Quarter

Start of Quarter

Q2 11:43

MISS Brewer 2' Layup

Q2 11:42

Harrell REBOUND

Q2 11:41

Harrell Putback Dunk

Q2 11:24

MISS Bosh 12' Shot

Q2 11:23

Beverley REBOUND

Q2 11:15

Beverley 19' Shot

Q2 10:51

MISS Green 18' Shot

Q2 10:50

Lawson REBOUND

Q2 10:35

MISS Lawson 6' Shot

Q2 10:34

Bosh REBOUND

Q2 10:26

Winslow Bad Pass Turnover

Q2 10:16

MISS Brewer 24' 3PT Shot

Q2 10:15

Bosh REBOUND

Q2 9:53

McRoberts Bad Pass Turnover

Q2 9:39

MISS Brewer 24' 3PT Shot

Q2 9:38

McRoberts REBOUND

Q2 9:29

MISS Dragic 4' Shot

Q2 9:28

Lawson REBOUND

Q2 9:17

Beverley 24' 3PT Shot

Q2 9:00

McRoberts Bad Pass Turnover

Q2 8:43

Terry 24' 3PT Shot

Q2 8:36

Harden P.FOUL

Q2 8:23

Dragic Foul Turnover

Q2 8:00

MISS Harden 24' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper

Q2 7:59

McRoberts REBOUND

Q2 7:51

MISS Bosh 24' 3PT Shot

Q2 7:50

Beverley REBOUND

Q2 7:44

MISS Terry 24' 3PT Shot

Q2 7:43

Bosh REBOUND

Q2 7:39

Brewer P.FOUL

Q2 7:30

Wade 13' Driving Floating Shot

Q2 7:15

Green P.FOUL

Q2 7:03

Thornton 20' Pullup Shot

Q2 6:50

Whiteside Traveling Turnover

Q2 6:42

MISS Harden 25' 3PT Shot

Q2 6:41

Whiteside REBOUND

Q2 6:28

MISS Green 3PT Shot

Q2 6:27

Ariza REBOUND

Q2 6:15

Deng S.FOUL

Q2 6:15

Harden Free Throw 1 of 2

Q2 6:15

Harden Free Throw 2 of 2

Q2 5:59

Dragic 15' Shot

Q2 5:40

MISS Thornton 2' Driving Layup

Q2 5:39

Whiteside REBOUND

Q2 5:25

Whiteside 2' Cutting Layup Shot

Q2 5:25

Hayes S.FOUL

Q2 5:25

MISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 1

Q2 5:24

Hayes REBOUND

Q2 5:01

MISS Terry 26' 3PT Shot

Q2 4:59

Dragic REBOUND

Q2 4:45

MISS Whiteside 11' Hook Shot

Q2 4:43

Harden REBOUND

Q2 4:37

Thornton 3PT Shot

Q2 4:15

MISS Deng 24' 3PT Shot

Q2 4:15

HEAT Rebound

Q2 4:15

Hayes P.FOUL

Q2 3:56

Whiteside Alley Oop Dunk

Q2 3:33

Thornton 25' 3PT Shot

Q2 3:16

MISS Dragic 25' 3PT Shot

Q2 3:15

Lawson REBOUND

Q2 3:11

Ariza Bad Pass Turnover

Q2 2:48

MISS Deng 2' Layup

Q2 2:47

HEAT Rebound

Q2 2:47

HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock

Q2 2:31

MISS Ariza 16' Turnaround Shot

Q2 2:30

Dragic REBOUND

Q2 2:21

MISS Johnson 24' 3PT Shot

Q2 2:20

Capela REBOUND

Q2 2:15

Harden Bad Pass Turnover

Q2 2:12

Dragic 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup

Q2 1:48

Ariza 24' 3PT Shot

Q2 1:28

MISS Wade 25' 3PT Shot

Q2 1:27

Johnson REBOUND

Q2 1:26

Johnson 2' Layup

Q2 1:08

Dragic P.FOUL

Q2 1:08

Harden Free Throw 1 of 3

Q2 1:08

MISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 3

Q2 1:08

Harden Free Throw 3 of 3

Q2 0:58

MISS Whiteside 2' Layup

Q2 0:57

Capela REBOUND

Q2 0:49

Thornton 25' 3PT Shot

Q2 0:34

MISS Deng 1' Driving Layup

Q2 0:33

Capela REBOUND

Q2 0:25

MISS Harden 25' 3PT Shot

Q2 0:24

Whiteside REBOUND

Q2 0:02

Wade 20' Shot

Q3 12:00

MISS Thornton 48' 3PT Shot

Q3 12:00

Rockets Rebound

End of Quarter

Start of Quarter

Q3 11:43

Bosh P.FOUL

Q3 11:33

Capela Cutting Dunk Shot

Q3 11:07

HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock

Q3 10:43

MISS Ariza 24' 3PT Shot

Q3 10:42

Whiteside REBOUND

Q3 10:25

Thornton S.FOUL

Q3 10:25

Wade Free Throw 1 of 2

Q3 10:25

Wade Free Throw 2 of 2

Q3 10:07

Thornton Step Out of Bounds Turnover

Q3 9:55

MISS Wade 20' Pullup Shot

Q3 9:54

Ariza REBOUND

Q3 9:48

Lawson 2' Running Layup

Q3 9:27

Ariza P.FOUL

Q3 9:12

Wade 18' Turnaround Fadeaway

Q3 8:59

Harden Bad Pass Turnover

Q3 8:48

Whiteside Dunk

Q3 8:30

Lawson Bad Pass Turnover

Q3 8:14

MISS Whiteside 5' Hook Shot

Q3 8:13

Deng REBOUND

Q3 8:12

Deng 2' Layup

Q3 7:57

Capela Dunk

Q3 7:32

Deng 24' 3PT Shot

Q3 7:08

MISS Ariza 3' Driving Layup

Q3 7:07

Dragic REBOUND

Q3 7:06

Lawson P.FOUL

Q3 6:56

MISS Wade 16' Shot

Q3 6:55

Harden REBOUND

Q3 6:48

MISS Harden 1' Driving Layup

Q3 6:47

Wade REBOUND

Q3 6:40

Wade 5' Driving Floating Shot

Q3 6:31

Dragic S.FOUL

Q3 6:31

MISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 3

Q3 6:31

Harden Free Throw 2 of 3

Q3 6:31

Harden Free Throw 3 of 3

Q3 6:17

Wade 3PT Shot

Q3 5:58

Harden Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover

Q3 5:46

MISS Wade 18' Pullup Shot

Q3 5:45

Ariza REBOUND

Q3 5:38

Wade P.FOUL

Q3 5:25

Beverley Bad Pass Turnover

Q3 5:20

Deng 3' Running Layup

Q3 4:59

MISS Thornton 24' 3PT Shot

Q3 4:58

Harrell REBOUND

Q3 4:53

MISS Thornton 16' Shot

Q3 4:52

Whiteside REBOUND

Q3 4:45

MISS Dragic 13' Pullup Shot

Q3 4:44

HEAT Rebound

Q3 4:41

Brewer L.B.FOUL

Q3 4:41

Beverley P.FOUL

Q3 4:41

Dragic Free Throw 1 of 2

Q3 4:41

Dragic Free Throw 2 of 2

Q3 4:27

Beverley Driving Dunk

Q3 4:10

MISS Green 25' 3PT Shot

Q3 4:09

Harden REBOUND

Q3 4:03

MISS Thornton 24' 3PT Shot

Q3 4:02

Whiteside REBOUND

Q3 3:56

MISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup

Q3 3:55

Thornton REBOUND

Q3 3:47

Thornton 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup

Q3 3:25

Whiteside 1' Driving Layup

Q3 3:25

Harrell S.FOUL

Q3 3:25

MISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 1

Q3 3:24

Harrell REBOUND

Q3 3:08

MISS Harden 25' 3PT Shot

Q3 3:07

Whiteside REBOUND

Q3 2:57

Winslow 24' 3PT Shot

Q3 2:48

Lawson Bad Pass Turnover

Q3 2:45

Brewer S.FOUL

Q3 2:45

Green Free Throw 1 of 2

Q3 2:45

Green Free Throw 2 of 2

Q3 2:25

Beverley Traveling Turnover

Q3 2:13

MISS Winslow 19' Shot

Q3 2:12

Rockets Rebound

Q3 2:12

Whiteside L.B.FOUL

Q3 2:12

Harrell T.FOUL

Q3 2:12

Chalmers Free Throw Technical

Q3 1:56

MISS Brewer 9' Turnaround Shot

Q3 1:55

Rockets Rebound

Q3 1:46

MISS Beverley 25' 3PT Shot

Q3 1:45

Johnson REBOUND

Q3 1:39

MISS Green 3PT Shot

Q3 1:38

Lawson REBOUND

Q3 1:14

MISS Brewer 24' 3PT Shot

Q3 1:13

Winslow REBOUND

Q3 0:54

Green 26' 3PT Shot

Q3 0:42

MISS Ariza 25' 3PT Shot

Q3 0:40

Bosh REBOUND

Q3 0:22

MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Shot

Q3 0:21

Harrell REBOUND

Q3 0:01

MISS Beverley 25' 3PT Shot

Q4 12:00

Bosh REBOUND

End of Quarter

Start of Quarter

Q4 11:39

MISS Bosh 16' Shot

Q4 11:38

Brewer REBOUND

Q4 11:30

Green Personal Block Foul

Q4 11:14

MISS Beverley 21' Shot

Q4 11:13

Rockets Rebound

Q4 11:04

Harrell Cutting Dunk Shot

Q4 10:41

MISS Johnson 20' Shot

Q4 10:40

Harrell REBOUND

Q4 10:28

Brewer 10' Jump Bank Shot

Q4 10:18

Beverley P.FOUL

Q4 10:06

Bosh 24' 3PT Shot

Q4 9:51

Harrell 5' Turnaround Hook Shot

Q4 9:27

Bosh 2' Driving Layup

Q4 9:20

MISS Ariza 1' Layup

Q4 9:19

Bosh REBOUND

Q4 9:17

Beverley P.FOUL

Q4 9:14

Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover

Q4 9:02

Brewer 6' Floating Shot

Q4 8:46

MISS Chalmers 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup

Q4 8:46

Johnson REBOUND

Q4 8:46

Johnson 1' Layup

Q4 8:46

Lawson S.FOUL

Q4 8:46

MISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 1

Q4 8:45

Ariza REBOUND

Q4 8:27

MISS Brewer 12' Hook Shot

Q4 8:27

HEAT Rebound

Q4 8:27

Ariza L.B.FOUL

Q4 8:11

Bosh 25' 3PT Shot

Q4 7:54

Lawson Bad Pass Turnover

Q4 7:49

Bosh Running Dunk

Q4 7:34

MISS Harden 24' 3PT Shot

Q4 7:33

Johnson REBOUND

Q4 7:16

MISS Wade 6' Driving Floating Shot

Q4 7:15

Harden REBOUND

Q4 7:00

Ariza Bad Pass Turnover

Q4 6:47

Wade Bad Pass Turnover

Q4 6:46

Winslow P.FOUL

Q4 6:35

MISS Thornton 3' Shot

Q4 6:34

Whiteside REBOUND

Q4 6:18

Winslow 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup

Q4 6:02

MISS Harden 18' Step Back Shot

Q4 6:01

Whiteside REBOUND

Q4 5:47

MISS Wade 8' Jump Bank Shot

Q4 5:46

Winslow REBOUND

Q4 5:44

MISS Winslow Dunk

Q4 5:43

Harden REBOUND

Q4 5:30

MISS Harden 25' 3PT Shot

Q4 5:29

Whiteside REBOUND

Q4 5:12

Thornton P.FOUL

Q4 5:12

MISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2

Q4 5:12

Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2

Q4 4:52

Harrell Lost Ball Turnover

Q4 4:48

Johnson 2' Running Layup

Q4 4:22

MISS Harden 25' 3PT Shot

Q4 4:21

Johnson REBOUND

Q4 4:08

Winslow 24' 3PT Shot

Q4 3:59

MISS Thornton 25' 3PT Shot

Q4 3:58

Johnson REBOUND

Q4 3:44

Whiteside Alley Oop Dunk

Q4 3:22

Chalmers S.FOUL

Q4 3:22

Harrell Free Throw 1 of 2

Q4 3:22

MISS Harrell Free Throw 2 of 2

Q4 3:19

Jump Ball Chalmers vs. Harden: Tip to Lawson

Q4 3:19

Rockets Rebound

Q4 3:02

Harden Lost Ball Turnover

Q4 2:49

MISS Wade 20' Shot

Q4 2:48

Johnson REBOUND

Q4 2:47

Johnson 2' Layup

Q4 2:32

Chalmers P.FOUL

Q4 2:19

MISS Harden 24' 3PT Shot

Q4 2:18

Rockets Rebound

Q4 2:18

Rockets Turnover: Shot Clock

Q4 1:58

Whiteside 1' Layup

Q4 1:48

Ariza 24' 3PT Shot

Q4 1:30

Whiteside Alley Oop Dunk

Q4 1:23

MISS Brewer 7' Driving Hook Shot

Q4 1:22

Johnson REBOUND

Q4 1:07

Wade 25' 3PT Shot

Q4 0:58

MISS Ariza 25' 3PT Shot

Q4 0:57

Whiteside REBOUND

Q4 0:37

Johnson 24' 3PT Shot

Q4 0:26

Brewer 2' Driving Hook Shot

Q4 0:02

HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock

Q4 0:01

MISS Ariza 40' 3PT Shot

Q5 12:00

Rockets Rebound

End of Game

This was more about defense (or lack of offense) for Houston. At Q3 9:48, they were up by 21 points. But by the end of the 3rd, the game was tied. Miami went on a 10 minute, 29-8 run.

Even more depressing was that Houston kept it going, putting up 14 points in the 4th. Miami secured a near-100% win probability with 3 minutes left in the game.

UNLIKELY COMEBACK #2: OKC VS GSW - FEB 27, 2016

against blow a 9 point lead in final 3 minutes

From 2006 - Today, Teams in GSW's Situation Tend to Lose

72%

of the time

98% of Teams will Lose when Down by 9, at Q4 3:45 without the Ball

low-point

Golden State is down by 0 48 Minutes to go at tip-off

Q4 11:41

MISS Durant 26' 3PT Pullup Shot

Q4 11:40

Iguodala REBOUND

Q4 11:32

MISS Barbosa 24' 3PT Shot

Q4 11:31

Singler REBOUND

Q4 11:23

Barnes S.FOUL

Q4 11:23

MISS Kanter Free Throw 1 of 2

Q4 11:23

Kanter Free Throw 2 of 2

Q4 11:03

MISS Curry 3' Layup

Q4 11:03

Durant REBOUND

Q4 10:56

Waiters Bad Pass Turnover

Q4 10:51

MISS Barnes 2' Layup

Q4 10:51

Durant REBOUND

Q4 10:42

MISS Waiters 3PT Shot

Q4 10:41

Varejao REBOUND

Q4 10:33

Roberson P.FOUL

Q4 10:24

MISS Varejao 2' Layup

Q4 10:24

Kanter REBOUND

Q4 10:15

Kanter 3' Turnaround Shot

Q4 10:04

Durant P.FOUL

Q4 9:58

Singler S.FOUL

Q4 9:58

MISS Varejao Free Throw 1 of 2

Q4 9:58

MISS Varejao Free Throw 2 of 2

Q4 9:57

Kanter REBOUND

Q4 9:40

Durant 17' Step Back Shot

Q4 9:20

MISS Iguodala 25' 3PT Shot

Q4 9:20

Roberson REBOUND

Q4 9:15

Livingston S.FOUL

Q4 9:15

Kanter Free Throw 1 of 2

Q4 9:15

Kanter Free Throw 2 of 2

Q4 8:56

Livingston 6' Turnaround Shot

Q4 8:56

Roberson S.FOUL

Q4 8:56

Livingston Free Throw 1 of 1

Q4 8:46

MISS Durant 25' 3PT Shot

Q4 8:45

Green REBOUND

Q4 8:30

Thompson 17' Shot

Q4 8:07

MISS Roberson 3PT Shot

Q4 8:06

Singler REBOUND

Q4 8:03

MISS Singler 3' Floating Shot

Q4 8:01

Kanter REBOUND

Q4 8:01

Kanter 1' Tip Layup Shot

Q4 7:39

MISS Thompson 25' 3PT Shot

Q4 7:38

Iguodala REBOUND

Q4 7:34

Barnes Dunk

Q4 7:05

Westbrook Lost Ball Turnover

Q4 7:03

Iguodala Bad Pass Turnover

Q4 6:47

Singler 1' Reverse Layup

Q4 6:28

MISS Thompson 3PT Step Back Shot

Q4 6:28

Durant REBOUND

Q4 6:17

MISS Westbrook 12' Turnaround Shot

Q4 6:16

Westbrook REBOUND

Q4 6:07

MISS Adams Dunk

Q4 6:07

Warriors Rebound

Q4 5:52

MISS Barnes 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot

Q4 5:52

THUNDER Rebound

Q4 5:27

MISS Westbrook 16' Shot

Q4 5:27

Livingston REBOUND

Q4 5:10

MISS Barnes 1' Driving Layup

Q4 5:09

Ibaka REBOUND

Q4 4:51

Westbrook 1' Driving Layup

Q4 4:33

Thompson 1' Layup

Q4 4:08

MISS Ibaka 5' Turnaround Hook Shot

Q4 4:06

Curry REBOUND

Q4 4:00

MISS Thompson 3PT Shot

Q4 4:00

Durant REBOUND

Q4 3:50

MISS Westbrook 1' Layup

Q4 3:49

Ibaka REBOUND

Q4 3:46

MISS Ibaka 11' Shot

Q4 3:45

Westbrook REBOUND

Q4 3:45

MISS Westbrook 2' Tip Layup Shot

Q4 3:45

Green REBOUND

Q4 3:37

Curry 1' Running Layup

Q4 3:14

Iguodala P.FOUL

Q4 3:00

MISS Westbrook 33' 3PT Shot

Q4 3:00

Adams REBOUND

Q4 3:00

THUNDER Turnover: Shot Clock

Q4 2:53

Curry 26' 3PT Pullup Shot

Q4 2:31

MISS Durant 15' Pullup Shot

Q4 2:30

Green REBOUND

Q4 2:21

Westbrook P.FOUL

Q4 2:21

MISS Green Free Throw 1 of 2

Q4 2:21

Green Free Throw 2 of 2

Q4 1:59

MISS Westbrook 26' 3PT Shot

Q4 1:58

Roberson REBOUND

Q4 1:45

Iguodala S.FOUL

Q4 1:45

Durant Free Throw 1 of 2

Q4 1:45

Durant Free Throw 2 of 2

Q4 1:37

Curry 26' 3PT Pullup Shot

Q4 1:13

Ibaka 18' Shot

Q4 0:58

Curry Traveling Turnover

Q4 0:40

MISS Durant 5' Alley Oop Layup

Q4 0:40

Green REBOUND

Q4 0:35

Thompson 3PT Shot

Q4 0:14

Durant 26' 3PT Shot

Q4 0:11

Thompson 2' Finger Roll Layup

Q4 0:02

Durant Bad Pass Turnover

Q4 0:01

Durant S.FOUL

Q4 0:01

Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 2

Q4 0:01

Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 2

Q5 12:00

MISS Durant 18' Turnaround Shot

Q5 12:00

THUNDER Rebound

End of Quarter

Start of Quarter

This was one of the most memorable moments of the season: Golden State was down by 9 with 3 minutes left in the game. With 14 seconds left, OKC was still up by 4. Yet Klay Thompson proceeds to score a quick layup and Durant commits a turnover + shooting foul with two seconds left, allowing Golden State to tie.

Later in OT, Curry will hit an impossible game-winner three.

UNLIKELY COMEBACK #3: BOS VS CLE - FEB 05, 2016

The win the impossible: down by 4 with 7 seconds to go

Teams in Boston's Situation Tend to Lose

92%

of the time

~100% of Teams will Lose when Down by 5, 9 seconds to go, and the ball

low-point

Celtics are down by 0 48 Minutes to go at tip-off

Q4 0:59

Thompson REBOUND

Q4 0:59

Thompson 1' Tip Layup Shot

Q4 0:49

MISS Thomas 4' Floating Shot

Q4 0:49

Zeller REBOUND

Q4 0:48

Zeller 1' Putback Layup

Q4 0:24

MISS James 25' 3PT Shot

Q4 0:22

Smith REBOUND

Q4 0:18

Bradley P.FOUL

Q4 0:18

Irving Free Throw 1 of 2

Q4 0:18

Irving Free Throw 2 of 2

Q4 0:09

MISS Bradley 27' 3PT Shot

Q4 0:09

Sullinger REBOUND

Q4 0:08

Crowder 25' 3PT Shot

Q4 0:07

Sullinger P.FOUL

Q4 0:07

Irving Free Throw 1 of 2

Q4 0:07

Irving Free Throw 2 of 2

Q4 0:04

Turner 1' Driving Layup

Q4 0:04

Smith S.FOUL

Q4 0:04

MISS Turner Free Throw 1 of 1

Q4 0:04

Celtics Rebound

Q5 12:00

Bradley 24' 3PT Shot

End of Game

Let’s visualize the final minute: with 7 seconds left, the Celtics have the ball and are down by 4. Turner is fouled and scores on a layup. It’s now a two point game. He then misses the free throw, Celtics get the offensive rebound, and Bradley hits a 3 pointer: 5 points in 4 seconds. Tragic.

UNLIKELY COMEBACK #4: BOS VS CLE - MAR 02, 2016

The overcome a 14 pt deficit with 5 minutes to go

Teams in LA's Situation Tend to Lose

50%

of the time

~100% of Teams will Lose when Down by 14 at Q4 5:03

low-point

The Clippers are down by 0 48 Minutes to go at tip-off

Start of Quarter

Q1 12:00

Jump Ball Jordan vs. Adams: Tip to Redick

Q1 11:39

Redick 20' Shot

Q1 11:24

Adams Dunk

Q1 11:08

Redick 18' Shot

Q1 10:47

MISS Ibaka 13' Pullup Shot

Q1 10:45

Adams REBOUND

Q1 10:40

MISS Ibaka 20' Shot

Q1 10:39

Redick REBOUND

Q1 10:30

MISS Paul 27' 3PT Step Back Shot

Q1 10:27

Ibaka REBOUND

Q1 10:10

Durant 26' 3PT Shot

Q1 9:59

Roberson S.FOUL

Q1 9:59

Jordan Free Throw 1 of 2

Q1 9:59

MISS Jordan Free Throw 2 of 2

Q1 9:59

Ibaka REBOUND

Q1 9:43

MISS Westbrook 3' Driving Layup

Q1 9:42

Pierce REBOUND

Q1 9:34

MISS Green 25' 3PT Shot

Q1 9:33

Ibaka REBOUND

Q1 9:27

Westbrook 12' Pullup Shot

Q1 9:05

Pierce 27' 3PT Shot

Q1 8:46

MISS Ibaka 17' Pullup Shot

Q1 8:43

Pierce REBOUND

Q1 8:36

MISS Pierce 26' 3PT Shot

Q1 8:35

Roberson REBOUND

Q1 8:25

MISS Durant 9' Pullup Shot

Q1 8:22

Green REBOUND

Q1 8:16

Redick 26' 3PT Shot

Q1 7:59

Ibaka 6' Turnaround Hook Shot

Q1 7:50

MISS Redick 18' Shot

Q1 7:48

Adams REBOUND

Q1 7:38

MISS Durant 26' 3PT Shot

Q1 7:36

Ibaka REBOUND

Q1 7:36

MISS Ibaka 1' Tip Layup Shot

Q1 7:33

Pierce REBOUND

Q1 7:19

MISS Green 3' Layup

Q1 7:17

Westbrook REBOUND

Q1 7:13

Durant Running Dunk

Q1 6:46

MISS Redick 3PT Shot

Q1 6:45

Roberson REBOUND

Q1 6:39

Westbrook 7' Driving Bank Shot

Q1 6:39

Green S.FOUL

Q1 6:39

Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 1

Q1 6:27

MISS Jordan 5' Hook Shot

Q1 6:25

Durant REBOUND

Q1 6:22

Durant 27' 3PT Running Pull-Up Shot

Q1 6:22

Green S.FOUL

Q1 6:22

Durant Free Throw 1 of 1

Q1 6:11

Redick 26' 3PT Shot

Q1 5:57

MISS Roberson 2' Reverse Layup

Q1 5:55

Adams REBOUND

Q1 5:55

Adams 2' Tip Layup Shot

Q1 5:34

MISS Paul 19' Shot

Q1 5:33

Durant REBOUND

Q1 5:26

MISS Durant 25' 3PT Shot

Q1 5:25

Ibaka REBOUND

Q1 5:11

MISS Ibaka 14' Shot

Q1 5:08

Paul REBOUND

Q1 5:04

MISS W. Johnson 1' Reverse Layup

Q1 5:01

Roberson REBOUND

Q1 4:57

MISS Westbrook 25' 3PT Shot

Q1 4:55

Jordan REBOUND

Q1 4:48

Jordan 2' Layup

Q1 4:48

Ibaka S.FOUL

Q1 4:48

MISS Jordan Free Throw 1 of 1

Q1 4:47

Westbrook REBOUND

Q1 4:36

Waiters 3PT Shot

Q1 4:16

Singler P.FOUL

Q1 4:02

MISS Paul 27' 3PT Shot

Q1 4:01

Foye REBOUND

Q1 3:47

MISS Waiters 2' Reverse Layup

Q1 3:47

Thunder Rebound

Q1 3:41

Ibaka 4' Driving Bank Shot

Q1 3:41

Paul S.FOUL

Q1 3:41

Ibaka Free Throw 1 of 1

Q1 3:22

MISS W. Johnson 4' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot

Q1 3:20

Westbrook REBOUND

Q1 3:13

Singler 25' 3PT Shot

Q1 2:53

Crawford 18' Shot

Q1 2:36

Westbrook 26' 3PT Shot

Q1 2:19

MISS Rivers 26' 3PT Shot

Q1 2:18

Jordan REBOUND

Q1 2:10

Singler S.FOUL

Q1 2:10

Paul Free Throw 1 of 2

Q1 2:10

Paul Free Throw 2 of 2

Q1 1:56

Durant Bad Pass Turnover

Q1 1:43

MISS W. Johnson 26' 3PT Shot

Q1 1:41

Kanter REBOUND

Q1 1:17

Waiters 29' 3PT Step Back Shot

Q1 0:54

Roberson S.FOUL

Q1 0:54

MISS Crawford Free Throw 1 of 2

Q1 0:54

Crawford Free Throw 2 of 2

Q1 0:41

Durant 12' Shot

Q1 0:29

Prigioni 27' 3PT Shot

Q1 0:06

MISS Durant 28' 3PT Shot

Q1 0:05

CLIPPERS Rebound

Q2 12:00

MISS W. Johnson 28' 3PT Shot

Q2 12:00

CLIPPERS Rebound

End of Quarter

Start of Quarter

Q2 11:45

MISS Kanter 3' Layup

Q2 11:44

Kanter REBOUND

Q2 11:43

MISS Kanter 1' Layup

Q2 11:41

Aldrich REBOUND

Q2 11:31

MISS Crawford 15' Shot

Q2 11:29

Durant REBOUND

Q2 11:23

MISS Durant 17' Step Back Shot

Q2 11:20

Payne REBOUND

Q2 11:17

Foye 29' 3PT Shot

Q2 10:57

MISS Crawford 11' Shot

Q2 10:56

Kanter REBOUND

Q2 10:48

MISS Waiters 1' Driving Layup

Q2 10:46

Aldrich REBOUND

Q2 10:41

MISS Rivers 1' Driving Layup

Q2 10:39

Durant REBOUND

Q2 10:31

MISS Payne 24' 3PT Shot

Q2 10:30

Prigioni REBOUND

Q2 10:18

MISS W. Johnson 18' Pullup Shot

Q2 10:15

Foye REBOUND

Q2 10:03

Kanter 15' Shot

Q2 9:42

MISS Crawford 25' 3PT Shot

Q2 9:41

Kanter REBOUND

Q2 9:30

Payne 3' Layup

Q2 9:16

Aldrich 3' Reverse Layup

Q2 8:51

Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover

Q2 8:38

Payne P.FOUL

Q2 8:29

Rivers 7' Driving Floating Shot

Q2 8:11

MISS Durant 14' Shot

Q2 8:10

Aldrich REBOUND

Q2 8:01

MISS Paul 1' Layup

Q2 7:59

Durant REBOUND

Q2 7:54

Westbrook Lost Ball Turnover

Q2 7:48

MISS Paul 2' Running Layup

Q2 7:48

Durant REBOUND

Q2 7:48

Rivers P.FOUL

Q2 7:37

MISS Westbrook 2' Layup

Q2 7:35

Kanter REBOUND

Q2 7:34

MISS Kanter 3' Layup

Q2 7:32

Rivers REBOUND

Q2 7:32

Rivers Step Out of Bounds Turnover

Q2 7:27

MISS Durant 14' Shot

Q2 7:25

Kanter REBOUND

Q2 7:13

MISS Kanter 2' Layup

Q2 7:13

Thunder Rebound

Q2 7:13

Paul L.B.FOUL

Q2 7:09

Westbrook 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup

Q2 7:01

Waiters P.FOUL

Q2 6:49

MISS Rivers 4' Layup

Q2 6:48

Foye REBOUND

Q2 6:43

Foye 27' 3PT Shot

Q2 6:18

MISS Redick 9' Floating Shot

Q2 6:18

CLIPPERS Rebound

Q2 6:18

Ibaka L.B.FOUL

Q2 6:07

MISS Paul 3' Layup

Q2 6:06

Jordan REBOUND

Q2 6:06

MISS Jordan 3' Tip Layup Shot

Q2 6:05

Jordan REBOUND

Q2 6:05

Jordan 3' Tip Layup Shot

Q2 5:51

MISS Waiters 28' 3PT Shot

Q2 5:49

Jordan REBOUND

Q2 5:43

MISS Green 2' Layup

Q2 5:42

Durant REBOUND

Q2 5:31

Westbrook Foul Turnover

Q2 5:14

Green Traveling Turnover

Q2 5:03

Waiters Lost Ball Turnover

Q2 4:56

MISS Redick 27' 3PT Shot

Q2 4:55

Ibaka REBOUND

Q2 4:45

MISS Westbrook 4' Hook Shot

Q2 4:42

Adams REBOUND

Q2 4:38

MISS Waiters 24' 3PT Shot

Q2 4:37

Jordan REBOUND

Q2 4:28

MISS Jordan 1' Cutting Layup Shot

Q2 4:27

Paul REBOUND

Q2 4:27

Paul 1' Tip Layup Shot

Q2 4:11

Jump Ball Redick vs. Foye: Tip to Adams

Q2 4:03

Ibaka 16' Shot

Q2 3:56

MISS Crawford 24' 3PT Shot

Q2 3:54

CLIPPERS Rebound

Q2 3:40

MISS Green 27' 3PT Shot

Q2 3:39

Westbrook REBOUND

Q2 3:33

MISS Ibaka 27' 3PT Shot

Q2 3:29

Green REBOUND

Q2 3:19

MISS Redick 10' Shot

Q2 3:19

Thunder Rebound

Q2 3:03

MISS Adams 4' Reverse Layup

Q2 2:59

Jordan REBOUND

Q2 2:54

Paul 1' Driving Layup

Q2 2:37

MISS Ibaka 9' Shot

Q2 2:36

Adams REBOUND

Q2 2:30

MISS Durant 28' 3PT Shot

Q2 2:29

Ibaka REBOUND

Q2 2:27

Ibaka 2' Finger Roll Layup

Q2 2:00

MISS Green 4' Shot

Q2 1:59

Durant REBOUND

Q2 1:55

Durant Driving Dunk

Q2 1:32

Jordan 1' Layup

Q2 1:17

Durant 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup

Q2 1:17

Green S.FOUL

Q2 1:17

Durant Free Throw 1 of 1

Q2 1:09

Paul 17' Pullup Shot

Q2 0:50

Ibaka Bad Pass Turnover

Q2 0:46

MISS Redick 24' Running Pull-Up Shot

Q2 0:44

Adams REBOUND

Q2 0:32

Durant Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover

Q2 0:25

MISS Jordan Alley Oop Dunk

Q2 0:19

Pierce REBOUND

Q2 0:02

MISS Paul 26' 3PT Shot

Q3 12:00

Adams REBOUND

End of Quarter

Start of Quarter

Q3 11:38

MISS Westbrook 16' Shot

Q3 11:35

Jordan REBOUND

Q3 11:29

Westbrook Personal Take Foul

Q3 11:13

Pierce 27' 3PT Shot

Q3 10:48

Westbrook 19' Pullup Shot

Q3 10:36

Redick 22' Shot

Q3 10:21

MISS Durant 26' 3PT Shot

Q3 10:20

Jordan REBOUND

Q3 10:11

MISS Pierce 18' Shot

Q3 10:09

Roberson REBOUND

Q3 9:59

MISS Roberson 24' 3PT Shot

Q3 9:58

Ibaka REBOUND

Q3 9:53

MISS Westbrook 26' 3PT Shot

Q3 9:52

Jordan REBOUND

Q3 9:39

Paul 13' Pullup Shot

Q3 9:28

Durant 2' Layup

Q3 9:08

Paul 3' Driving Bank Shot

Q3 8:51

Westbrook Bad Pass Turnover

Q3 8:46

MISS Green 5' Shot

Q3 8:42

Roberson REBOUND

Q3 8:40

Westbrook 1' Driving Layup

Q3 8:40

Redick S.FOUL

Q3 8:40

Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 1

Q3 8:21

MISS Green 25' 3PT Shot

Q3 8:19

Roberson REBOUND

Q3 8:17

Redick S.FOUL

Q3 8:17

Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 2

Q3 8:17

Westbrook Free Throw 2 of 2

Q3 7:57

Redick 19' Pullup Shot

Q3 7:38

Durant 18' Fadeaway Jumper

Q3 7:19

Jordan Alley Oop Dunk

Q3 7:06

MISS Durant 27' 3PT Shot

Q3 7:06

Thunder Rebound

Q3 7:06

Pierce L.B.FOUL

Q3 6:59

MISS Ibaka 11' Shot

Q3 6:58

W. Johnson REBOUND

Q3 6:43

Westbrook S.FOUL

Q3 6:43

MISS Jordan Free Throw 1 of 2

Q3 6:43

Jordan Free Throw 2 of 2

Q3 6:33

MISS Roberson 26' 3PT Shot

Q3 6:31

Jordan REBOUND

Q3 6:21

MISS W. Johnson 24' 3PT Shot

Q3 6:20

CLIPPERS Rebound

Q3 6:12

Paul 26' 3PT Shot

Q3 5:57

Adams Alley Oop Dunk

Q3 5:33

W. Johnson 24' 3PT Shot

Q3 5:22

Westbrook 26' 3PT Shot

Q3 5:04

Jordan Cutting Dunk Shot

Q3 4:50

Westbrook 2' Layup

Q3 4:35

Paul Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover

Q3 4:24

MISS Westbrook 26' 3PT Shot

Q3 4:22

Singler REBOUND

Q3 4:09

MISS Ibaka 19' Shot

Q3 4:08

Jordan REBOUND

Q3 3:46

Paul 17' Shot

Q3 3:32

MISS Ibaka 17' Shot

Q3 3:31

Paul REBOUND

Q3 3:24

Paul Lost Ball Turnover

Q3 3:20

Ibaka Bad Pass Turnover

Q3 3:14

Redick Bad Pass Turnover

Q3 3:08

Westbrook Lost Ball Turnover

Q3 3:02

MISS W. Johnson 24' 3PT Shot

Q3 2:59

Ibaka REBOUND

Q3 2:46

Ibaka 20' Shot

Q3 2:31

MISS Crawford 2' Layup

Q3 2:29

Jordan REBOUND

Q3 2:29

MISS Jordan 2' Tip Layup Shot

Q3 2:25

Ibaka REBOUND

Q3 2:15

Durant 26' 3PT Shot

Q3 1:56

MISS W. Johnson 2' Layup

Q3 1:53

W. Johnson REBOUND

Q3 1:52

MISS W. Johnson 1' Layup

Q3 1:47

Ibaka REBOUND

Q3 1:43

MISS Durant 27' 3PT Shot

Q3 1:40

Jordan REBOUND

Q3 1:36

Crawford 2' Driving Floating Bank Shot

Q3 1:36

Singler S.FOUL

Q3 1:36

Crawford Free Throw 1 of 1

Q3 1:23

Kanter 2' Layup

Q3 1:02

MISS Rivers 28' 3PT Shot

Q3 1:01

Waiters REBOUND

Q3 0:53

MISS Waiters 28' 3PT Shot

Q3 0:51

Singler REBOUND

Q3 0:38

MISS Kanter 14' Shot

Q3 0:36

Singler REBOUND

Q3 0:35

Paul P.FOUL

Q3 0:30

Durant 8' Fadeaway Jumper

Q3 0:28

Durant P.FOUL

Q3 0:28

Paul Free Throw 1 of 2

Q3 0:28

Paul Free Throw 2 of 2

Q3 0:06

Durant Bad Pass Turnover

Q3 0:03

Foye S.FOUL

Q3 0:03

MISS Rivers Free Throw 1 of 2

Q3 0:03

Rivers Free Throw 2 of 2

Q4 12:00

MISS Durant 33' 3PT Running Shot

Q4 12:00

Thunder Rebound

End of Quarter

Start of Quarter

Q4 11:44

Kanter Violation:Kicked Ball

Q4 11:34

MISS Crawford 27' 3PT Shot

Q4 11:33

Waiters REBOUND

Q4 11:20

Foye Bad Pass Turnover

Q4 11:17

MISS Rivers 2' Layup

Q4 11:13

Rivers REBOUND

Q4 11:01

Rivers 3' Driving Layup

Q4 10:46

MISS Singler 24' 3PT Shot

Q4 10:45

Aldrich REBOUND

Q4 10:29

Aldrich 3' Layup

Q4 10:16

Foye Traveling Turnover

Q4 10:00

MISS Crawford 3' Finger Roll Layup

Q4 9:59

Crawford REBOUND

Q4 9:59

Crawford 2' Tip Layup Shot

Q4 9:43

Durant 15' Pullup Shot

Q4 9:25

MISS Aldrich 4' Layup

Q4 9:24

Singler REBOUND

Q4 9:15

MISS Foye 26' 3PT Shot

Q4 9:14

Rivers REBOUND

Q4 9:08

Singler S.FOUL

Q4 9:08

Rivers Free Throw 1 of 2

Q4 9:08

MISS Rivers Free Throw 2 of 2

Q4 9:05

Durant REBOUND

Q4 8:45

MISS Westbrook 24' 3PT Shot

Q4 8:44

Aldrich REBOUND

Q4 8:35

Prigioni Bad Pass Turnover

Q4 8:30

Foye 2' Driving Layup

Q4 8:12

MISS Rivers 3' Finger Roll Layup

Q4 8:09

Kanter REBOUND

Q4 8:07

Kanter Driving Dunk

Q4 7:53

Aldrich 1' Cutting Layup Shot

Q4 7:26

Kanter Dunk

Q4 7:11

Aldrich 2' Reverse Layup

Q4 6:50

MISS Westbrook 18' Pullup Shot

Q4 6:49

Aldrich REBOUND

Q4 6:35

MISS W. Johnson 27' 3PT Shot

Q4 6:34

Kanter REBOUND

Q4 6:19

MISS Westbrook 5' Shot

Q4 6:19

CLIPPERS Rebound

Q4 6:19

Westbrook L.B.FOUL

Q4 6:04

MISS Paul 17' Shot

Q4 6:00

Foye REBOUND

Q4 5:56

Durant Lost Ball Turnover

Q4 5:53

W. Johnson 2' Layup

Q4 5:53

Durant S.FOUL

Q4 5:53

MISS W. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 1

Q4 5:52

Durant REBOUND

Q4 5:31

MISS Westbrook 4' Shot

Q4 5:29

W. Johnson REBOUND

Q4 5:24

MISS Crawford 26' 3PT Shot

Q4 5:22

W. Johnson REBOUND

Q4 5:22

MISS W. Johnson 1' Putback Layup

Q4 5:18

Durant REBOUND

Q4 5:16

Paul S.FOUL

Q4 5:16

Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 2

Q4 5:16

Westbrook Free Throw 2 of 2

Q4 5:04

MISS Redick 26' 3PT Shot

Q4 5:03

Jordan REBOUND

Q4 4:59

W. Johnson 24' 3PT Shot

Q4 4:38

MISS Waiters 20' Shot

Q4 4:36

Jordan REBOUND

Q4 4:27

W. Johnson 28' 3PT Shot

Q4 4:05

MISS Ibaka 21' Shot

Q4 4:04

Crawford REBOUND

Q4 3:58

MISS W. Johnson 26' 3PT Shot

Q4 3:54

Westbrook REBOUND

Q4 3:30

MISS Roberson 27' 3PT Shot

Q4 3:29

Roberson REBOUND

Q4 3:23

Durant Lost Ball Turnover

Q4 3:18

Crawford 1' Running Layup

Q4 3:02

Durant Step Out of Bounds Turnover

Q4 2:47

Jordan 2' Layup

Q4 2:35

MISS Westbrook 2' Layup

Q4 2:35

Adams REBOUND

Q4 2:35

Redick P.FOUL

Q4 2:27

MISS Durant 20' Shot

Q4 2:25

Adams REBOUND

Q4 2:22

MISS Durant 26' 3PT Shot

Q4 2:22

CLIPPERS Rebound

Q4 2:22

Ibaka L.B.FOUL

Q4 2:13

Paul 1' Driving Layup

Q4 2:00

Durant 17' Shot

Q4 1:49

Jordan 3' Alley Oop Layup

Q4 1:49

Adams S.FOUL

Q4 1:49

Jordan Free Throw 1 of 1

Q4 1:31

Westbrook Step Out of Bounds Turnover

Q4 1:12

MISS Paul 18' Shot

Q4 1:12

Jordan REBOUND

Q4 1:12

Jordan 1' Tip Layup Shot

Q4 1:12

Roberson S.FOUL

Q4 1:12

Jordan Free Throw 1 of 1

Q4 0:58

MISS Durant 10' Pullup Shot

Q4 0:55

Jordan REBOUND

Q4 0:38

Crawford 6' Pullup Bank Shot

Q4 0:33

W. Johnson S.FOUL

Q4 0:33

MISS Durant Free Throw 1 of 2

Q4 0:33

Durant Free Throw 2 of 2

Q4 0:13

MISS Crawford 18' Shot

Q4 0:12

Westbrook REBOUND

Q4 0:06

MISS Westbrook 26' 3PT Running Shot

Q4 0:06

CLIPPERS Rebound

Q4 0:05

Waiters Personal Take Foul

Q4 0:05

Redick Free Throw 1 of 2

Q4 0:05

Redick Free Throw 2 of 2

Q4 0:02

MISS Waiters 27' 3PT Shot

Q5 12:00

Paul REBOUND

End of Game

The Clippers are down by 14 with 5 minutes left. Statistically, a comeback from this point is extremely rare. But OKC then goes 1 of 9 and commits three turnovers, blowing another game that they had in the bag.

ps. Props to Mike Beuoy for providing the data from his win-probability model on Inpredictable.com.